Davis Wade Forecast

2026 outlook / Week 10

vs

Vanderbilt

Sat, Nov 7, 2026. 3:15 p.m. CT. Davis Wade Stadium.

53,591 forecast attendance
80% range
49,697 to 57,485
Sellout odds
2%
Get-in price
$48 on Tue, Oct 13
Model
Price model

CollegeFootballData has no announced attendance for this game, so it is not part of the track record. The forecast above uses the full model.

Why 53,591

Start from an average game in the training set, 53,775. Each variable then moves the number by its weight times how far this game sits from that average.

  • Get-in price, relative to the season$48, at the season median -184

Adds up to 53,591. Price model, 80% range 49,697 to 57,485.

The inputs

VariableThis gameTraining averageWeightSeats moved
Get-in price, relative to the seasonThe cheapest resale ticket on ticketdata.com, compared with that season's median price on a log scale. All listed home games contribute to the reference. A doubling relative to that reference has the same effect in any season. $48, at the season median 1.03× the season reference 6,319 -184

Weight is the change in forecast attendance for a one-unit change in the variable. Seats moved is that weight times this game's distance from the training average. How the weights were fitted.