2026 outlook / Week 12
vs
Tennessee Tech
Sat, Nov 21, 2026. 12 p.m. CT. Davis Wade Stadium.
46,429
forecast attendance
- 80% range
- 43,272 to 49,586
- Sellout odds
- 0%
- Get-in price
- $17 on Thu, Sep 24
- Model
- Price model
Why 46,429
Start from an average game in the training set, 53,037. Each variable then moves the number by its weight times how far this game sits from that average.
- Get-in price, relative to the season$17, 35% of the season median -6,608
Adds up to 46,429. Price model, 80% range 43,272 to 49,586.
The inputs
| Variable | This game | Training average | Weight | Seats moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Get-in price, relative to the seasonThe cheapest resale ticket on ticketdata.com, compared with that season's median price on a log scale. All listed home games contribute to the reference. A doubling relative to that reference has the same effect in any season. | $17, 35% of the season median | 0.99× the season reference | 6,432 | -6,608 |
Weight is the change in forecast attendance for a one-unit change in the variable. Seats moved is that weight times this game's distance from the training average. How the weights were fitted.
Data notes
- No Elo; imputed 829.0.
- No SP+; imputed -42.9.